NME > Method
Enemy is just a much better roster imo. With the addition of Relyks, the lineup is much stronger. Im still doubting the choice of bringing mainline on the team and the fact that ryu wont be there to call but looking at the roster, they have a very strong fragging team. Method is going to play with toy who is a very stronger. This match will most likely be a tie, but if a team was going to win, it would be enemy, they have been a very dedicated team since they joined their org and method has been playing very inconsistantly recently.
Risk: Med // Bet: Med

CLG > Liquid
CLG has been having great performances recently, not only at cologne but online and at a lot of other events as well. Liquid will be playing with hiko, dont know if its permanent or if he is just subbing, but seems like he is playing most of liquids recent games. Liquid is a very strong team, and with hiko they have the potential to be even stronger, but right now, watching them play, it is still very sketchy. They almost lost a map to a very weak complexity that lost to teams much weaker. Furthermore, CLG has a bo3 advantage going for them. They have also won the past 4/5 matches against liquid.
Risk: Med // Bet: Med

WooSah > mouseSpaz
mouseSpaz has went through some many roster changes, their recent roster has had decent mediocre performance, a while back, they actually lost i believe 3 scrims to woosah pretty convincingly too. Woosah is definetly imho not at the same fragging level as some of the mS players, but for some reason, the team has not been preforming that bad. They played a scrim against a puggy tempo storm and managed to win. I believe woosah has a decent shot at this and they are definetly not out of the woods.
Risk: High // Bet: Low

Nexus > DRT
Looking at nexus' lineup, clearly outfrags and outpowers DRT who is a no name team currently. They are no where at the same level of nexus who has been outplaying many other teams at their same league, DRT is even a league under if i am not mistaken. Nexus can easily pug this out and just outfrag drt imho.
Risk: Low // bet: High

3sUp > Sponsorless
I dont have much hope for sponsorless, they are a pug team, undergoing many roster changes, not a very consistant team rn. 3sUp has been having very inconsistant results as well beating big names then losing to the lesser known. These odds are kind stupid so i suggest an icb.
Risk: High // Bet: ICB/Low

Mortality > Mythic
Mortality has been showing decent results recently taking it twice to overtime against sponsorless. Mythic on the other hand has been struggling somewhat having inconsistant and sometimes bad showings in their past matches and scrims, tieing against lunatik. I believe mortality has a very good shot at this, at least at taking one map maybe. High risked, mythic has a very strong lineup. But this is a match where i wouldnt throw too much.
Risk: High // Bet: ICB/Low

Liquid > compLexity
Liquids roster has been together for a long time, now with the addition of hiko, the team will be stronger than ever. Complexity is a lineup that has been undergoing a lot of changes and even with their stable roster couldnt find much success. In a bo2, i dont see liquid losing.
Risk: Low // Bet: High

EnVyUs > TSM
This match is a pretty risky one. Both teams have the potential to beat each other. Envys history against tsm with the new roster has been a 100%(4/4 maps) win rate, but you have to take that with a grain of salt because TSM were definetly not performing at their peak and 2 of the 4 maps played were on cobble, a map tsm are reknowned to be ♥♥♥♥♥♥ on. The 2 other maps being cache and inferno. Envy has been playing outstandingly with the new roster and cologne is not an exception. They took convincing wins against flipsid3 on inferno and also against Na'Vi, 2-0 actually, one might say that navi was underperforming but imho, i dont think any team would be underperforming in such an important event, id rather think of it as the other team that is much more prepared in this case envy. Granted envy went into overtime against Luminosity, but a lot of people think that lg is some tier 4 team which is untrue, they put fnatic to their limits only losing on mirage 14-16, luminosity is definetly a team to fear and it was not the least supposed to be an easy win for envy. Now lets look into TSMs journey. They took out renegades in a decently close match, renegades is also an up and coming team that has improved immensily. They then proceed to take out NiP 16-3 on cache in a dominating fashion. In the quarters, they take out Kinguin 2-0 rather convincingly. I would definetly say that the kinguin match should be taken lightly as even scream said himself in an interview that the team was just not performing and the comms were bad. All in all i wouldnt say one team has had an easier path to this semi final or performed better. In my opinion, whats making envy such a big threat is the fact that they are a rather new roster, and with such fraggers plus such a strong awper, a lot of teams wont know how to play against envy at the start, kind of like the surprise factor. As for Tsm, they have been there for such a long time, studying them wouldnt be a problem. If we think about the maps, Envy would ban overpass and tsm will ban cobble. On dust2, id say it is about 50 50, but we all know dust 2 is kennys playground so. On cache, Envy has shown very good results before cologne on cache but tsm has recently anhialated nip on it. On inferno, Envy has proven whose boss taking out everyone. On mirage, Envy surprisingly beat Navi on it with a decent scoreline, navi being one of the top mirage teams. Train is a map we havent seen much from both teams, tsm did play it against renegades and struggled a bit. This match is honestly really hard to call and i have regrouped all the facts that you could possibly gather. The only thing left to analyse this match is your own thought and your own gut, my gut tells me envy because i just dont see kennys not making it to the finals of a major ;)
Risk: High // Bet: Low

fnatic > Virtus Pro
fnatic just destroying everyone right now in cologne. They did have a bit of a struggle against lg on mirage, but other than that, they have been man powering all the other teams, destroying navi. Virtus Pro seems to be playing very well as well. This matchup has a very long history and fnatic has been on the top of it for a very long time. I just dont see fnatic losing right now, they are playing way to good. JW the beast has awoken....plus their map pool is much more diverse than vps rn imo.
Risk: Med // Bet: Med

Good luck with bets!
-astraL

Sorry about all this time i have been mia. I have been taking a break from writting because i was tired and wasnt motivated enough to keep on doing it. Now im ready to analyse some matches for you guys, i will be starting again tomorrow for the Cologne Semi finals. I will be updating my spreadsheet and steam group as always. Thanks to all who stayed and good luck!

-astraL