Counter-Strike 2

Counter-Strike 2

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ESL Cologne 2016 Pick'em and Fantasy Team Challenge
By gunshot25
Just a quick guide for those who don't know which team to pick for the upcoming major. Thanks for everyone who follows and please remember to Rate and Favorite the guide.


***Remember that the predictions in this guide are not always going to be 100% accurate (trust me I wish they were)***
   
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Day 1 Team Pick'em Challenge
Day 1 for the team pick'em challenge is for the most part, very straight forward. Here are my picks for Day 1:

-Astralis
-Gambit
-NAVI
-NIP
-Liquid
-Mouz
-SK (which is just Luminosity if you were not aware)
-Fnatic

These picks are all pretty safe. The only two games I can see going either way are the Gambit vs CLG and the VP vs Mouz matches. But after all this is Day 1 and each pick is only worth 1 point. So even if we miss one or two, it shouldn't affect us in the long run.

Edit: The G2 vs SK game has really become a coin flip for me after seeing the outstanding performance at ECS from G2. I will update the guide at a later date when I am sure on which side I will be picking.

Day 1 Fantasy Team Pick'em Challenge
The day 1 fantasy team challenge will be a bit difficult because we are dealing with all BO1's. So to be safe, I have choosen players that are on higher tiered teams that will most likely always come through. Here are my picks for the Day 1 Fantasy team challenge:

- Coldzera (Commando)
- Niko (Clutch King)
- Seized (Eco Warrior)
- Get_Right (Entry Fragger)
- Fallen (Sniper)

These picks do but a lot of trust in SK performing well but lets be honest, I think Fallen and Cold will have no problem dispatching of G2. Get_Right as an entry fragger is also a safe bet and Niko as clucth king is a good choice because I belive that their game aganist VP will be a close one. Seized is usually very proficient with pistols and I belive he will be a great pick for eco warrior.

Since this is Day 1, feel free to pick other players if you see the need to. The next days will be much easier to pick.

Edit: Coldzera might be taken off the pickem for day 1 after LG's match against G2 in the ECS Grand Final.

***Reminder***
Please remember to check back on the picks when we start getting closer to the major. Many things can change from now (6/26/16) and those day 1 matches. For the most part, not much should change.

Also, a lot of people having been saying that VP is the easy favorite over Mouz in the first match and I do not agree nor disagree with these claims. If you feel that one side or the other is going to win then go with your gut on that one. Anyway, good luck all :)
Final Update
So we are now getting very close to the major and I would like to give my final update before the day one matches begin.

As for the team picks :
I will be keeping all of my picks the same. The only teams I advise you think about for yourself is the VP vs Mouz game and the SK vs G2 game. I am going to stick with SK beating G2 but the VP game is tricky . There is a slight chance that I make a last minute Change on that one.

As for the player picks:
All of my picks are the same but I would think about changing the commando to possibly a Fnatic player or another higher tier team player. Many of you said to ditch get_right as entry but I am standing by on that decision. If you want to change that to right ahead. I will try to update this once again right before the match starts to say if I changed anything.
Day 2 Team Pick' Em
Alright guys, so day 1 went pretty well. If it weren't for that Fnatic choke, we would have been 7/8. Without getting into much more detail, lets get into day 2:

-Astralis
-Dignitas
-NIP
-Flipside
-Liquid
-Envy
-SK
-G2

OK, so...these games are a bit scarier then the day 1 lineup. I am pretty confident in all of my picks except for NIP and Envy. NIP played very well Day 1 and overall had a very clean game. NAVI also had a convincing game and showed they were a force to be taken seriously. In the end, I feel that whatever the map veto comes down to, will decide who has the edge in this match.

Envy vs Mouz is also a weird matchup. I was very disappointed in Mouz's game against VP today and overall, I lost my confidence in them. Envy also got, well crushed in their game against Liquid but I predicted that. This is another situation where I feel the map will somewhat decide the victor. If KennyS can show up like he did at E-League last week, the boys in blue should take this game with ease.

The only other game that might be risky is the G2 vs Fnatic match. After watching Fnatic choke against Faze in day 1, I have to say they look weaker than ever. Their playstyle was sloppy and their overall skill seems to be just off. G2 on the other hand put up a convincing fight against SK and showed they have what it takes to stay in this major.

Day 2 Fantasy Team Pick'em Challenge
Fantasy team is hard to put up right now. I will do my best to put it up but it will be posted much closer to the start of day 2. I like to run through the stats of the players and compare those stats to who said player is up against. For those of you that cannot wait for my picks to be posted (which is understandable) I will do my best right now to give you all some ideas for who to pick.

When it comes to commando, you want someome who is always very consistent and always shows up early in the match. My adivice would be to pick a player from either NIP/NAVI/G2/SK.

- Coldzera (Final Pick)

When it comes to Clutch King you want to find a player who has a challenging game to be played. You want someone who will have a good K/D and will be put in tight situations to save rounds for his team, For this reason I would say to pick someone from either Faze/G2/NIP/NAVI.

- Scream (Final Pick)

As for Eco Warrior, you want a player that is good on pistol rounds and maybe someone who you think would be forced onto a lot of save rounds or eco's. For this reason I would pick someone from either EnvyUs/Faze/Liquid.

- Forest (Final Pick)

Entry fragger's are hard to pick but I would have to recommend someone from either VP/ Fnatic/NAVI/SK.

- Fallen (Final Pick)

Last but not least, for sniper, you want to look for a player that had a good game on day 1 and was consistent with their aim. For this reason (and I will give actual names for this one since there is usually a primary awper) I would pick either KennyS/Fallen/Guardian/Mou.

-Guardian (Final Pick)

Once again I will try to update this part of the guide sometime before the day 2 games begin but make sure you put some thought into who you would like to pick based off of what I said. Player picks should be more of who you think will perform the best and I cannot easily predict that.

***ALL PICKS ABOVE ARE NOW FINAL GOOD LUCK EVERYONE***

Make sure that you agree with all these picks. Don't always blind follow unless you have no idea who to choose. Sometimes my player picks are biased and its always important to give me feedback. Thank you all for your support and good luck.


Day 2 Outcomes
Ok so as I type this we are 3 matches into day 2. I am currently 1/3 which is not good. Astralis Choked to Gambit in a unexpected upset. Dignitas crushed CLG as I predicted so that went well. Then NIP lost to NAVI in a very close match. The bright side to this is that if you followed my fantasy team picks, we had Forest as eco and Guardian as sniper. These two players should both bring in a good amount of points. I will continue to update this as the day moves on and just give my general thoughts on whats going on. Unfortunatly I feel that there will be more upsets down the line, lets hope for the best :D


Close game between Optic and Flipside but my prediction was correct and they pulled through on Train. This now makes us 2/4 which is still good. Next match is between Liquid and VP, one of the most exciting games in my opinion.

Liquid vs VP match is over and VP took the win. Another extremely close game. Now that makes my picks 2/5 and the room for error is becoming smaller and smaller. I hope you guys aren't to discouraged by this outcome. The Astralis loss was completly unseen by 95% of the pick'em users and that Liquid game was a true coinflip.

And now Mouz takes out EnvyUs...I'm speachless as of right now. Todays matches have been a true ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥. EnvyUS had this game in the bag and all of the sudden they forget how to play. If the next two games go as predicted (SK and G2 winning) then today will still be decent. However I am worried about the G2 game and really didn't think that It would be that big of a deal since the other matches seemed so straight forward. Sorry once again for anyone who got put down by this. Please don't give up yet though, we can still make it all back.

Ok well for our final loss of the day, we have G2 losing to Fnatic. G2 came into this match with almost everything going for them. They were in a better and more consistent form and the stats and map pick were in their favor. If you didn't watch this heartbreak of a match, G2 lost to fnatic 13-16. This may seem like an understandable scoreline but I will explain to you why I am very upset. When G2 clawed their way to that 13th round win, they completly destroyed Fnatics economy. Fnatic had nothing but one or two upgraded pistols and they managed to decimate the G2 players. If they had won the round it would have been 14-15 and they would have had a good shot at taking the game into OT and pulling it back.


-Astralis (Lost)
-Dignitas (Win)
-NIP (Lost)
-Flipside (Win)
-Liquid (Lost)
-EnvyUs (Lost)
-SK (Win)
-G2 (Lost)
Day 3 Pick'em Challenge
Alright so we started off strong on Day 1 and then dropped hard on day 2. Day 3 is by far the going to be the easiest to predict because of one simple fact, they are all BO3's. So lets get right into it:

- Edit: Dignitas (DUPREEH IS OUT -will update my pick and odds sometime later)
- NIP (Final)
- Liquid
- Fnatic (Final)


***Edit: Changed Astralis to dignitas because they have 2 stand in players and overall didn't look to hot.***

Lets talk about these picks.

So Astralis (despite their loss to Gambit on day 2) are doing ok. They are playing against Dignitas, a team that they were able to beat in a BO1 on day 1. Dignitas performed extremly well against CLG on day 2 but that doesn't really say much. If this were another BO1, this game would be a 50/50 for me, but with the BO3 setup, I see it very hard that Astralis don't make it out of this. My odds 65/35 in favor of Astralis.

There is not much to talk about in this matchup between NIP and Flipside. NIP has also beaten Flipside on day 1 and did so in a very convincing manner. In a BO1 I would say the odds are about an 75/25 but since this is BO3, its more like an 85-15. NIP is the clear favorite for this one.

Liquid did not perform well on day 2 against Virtus.Pro but mouz sports was able to take out team EnvyUs from the major. On day 1 Liquid played a great game against EnvyUs and Mouz lost to Virtus.Pro. So we actually see the two teams mirror somewhat the same results from their opponents. Mouz has some great skill on their team but Liquid is packing a lot of firepower right now. With S1mple, Jdm, Hiko, Nitro, and Elige all showing up quite well this week, they will be firing on all cylinders tomorrow. Something to note is that both teams have a somewhat similar map pool and that can play in the favor of either side. In this case, I am picking Liquid becuase I feel that the individual skill of their players will beat the tactics of Mouz. Game odds for me are about a 60/40 in favor of Liquid.

Last but not least we have Fnatic vs Faze, the "Revenge game". Now despite Fazes upset on Fnatic on day 1, there is no way I can see fnatic losing a BO3 against them. Fnatic played very well against G2 and showed that they weren't going down easy. Faze on the other hand got demolished by SK and were sent packing. Not much else to say here, my odds are 88/12 in favor of fnatic.



























Day 3 Fantasy Team Pick'em
Ok guys its late for me so I am going to get straight to the point with this one:

-Get_right (commando)
-Spiidi (clutch king)
-Forest (Eco warrior)
-Krimz (Entry-fragger)
-Jdm (sniper)

If you have any questions or concerns feel free to leave a comment (I will try and get back to you if I am still awake)

Day 3 Outcomes
Starting to sound like a broken record. Astralis beat Dignitas 2-1. Dig was unable to win the final map which was cache (ended 14-16) which is sad considering that Astralis had two stand in players. Dignitas made a great comeback on Cbble to take it into overtime and won. They started off terrible on Mirage but also made a decent comeback but lost in the end. Cache was very back and forth in the end but overall, just to many mistakes in the end.

NIP lose to Flipside (Only 2% picked Flipside to win that match). At this point, I think its time to throw away the stats because apparently, they no longer apply to this major. Its anyones game.

Liquid beat mousesports in a very one sided affair. First game in a long time where I can say I saw that coming.

Fnatic takes down Faze and closes out the day 3 matches. With these 2 wins, everyone should now have a bronze medal. We to get every game correct if we want to get a gold but its not impossible. If we get all 4 games right tomorrow, we get silver.
Day 4 Team Pick'em Challenge
Ok sor for all who have been following, you should have a bronze medal at this point. I know that might sound bad but we are getting closer and closer. Day 3 should have been a great day for points but when NIP completly choked to Flipside and Dignitas was unable to beat Astralis when they had 2 stand in players, things took a turn for the worst. Luckily, my last two picks were correct and we were able to gain some points.

As for day 4, heres what I'm thinking:

-VP
-SK
-NAVI
-Fnatic

In order to obtain gold, every pick made must be correct. This puts me under a bit of pressure as there is offically no more room for mistakes. Thats why I am reaching out to YOU. I want to hear some of your thoughts on the VP vs Astralis game, and the Liquid vs NAVI game.

Here are my thoughts on the games:

VP vs Astralis should be heavily in favor of VP. I say this because VP has been playing pretty well lately and I think they would perform even better since they are now in a BO3 match. With Astralis still weakened by there two stand in players, that gives even more of an edge to VP boys.

For Liquid vs NAVI, I am truely lost. Liquid is on fire right now and all of their players are on point. But then we have NAVI, who have also been looking very good and guardian is never a player to be taken lightly. As of right now this match is truely a 50/50 in my eyes. I will be doing some more research for this game.

As for SK and Fnatic, these games should be straight forward and I don't think they will be to nerve racking to watch. Not much else to say there, they are both clearly the heavy favorites.

Day 4 Fantasy Team Pick'em
My picks for the day 4 fantasy team pick'em:

-Coldzera (Commando)
-Flusha (Clutch King)
-Dennis (Eco Warrior)
-Fer (Entry-Fragger)
-Guardian (Sniper)

Day 4 Outcomes
VP beat Astralis 2-0 (both going into OT)

SK beats Flipside 2-0, pretty easy games for SK.

NAVI lost to Liquid (Rip gold) 2-1. Complete throw from NAVI after playing well on map 1 and 2.\

Fnatic beats Gambit 2-0. Clean and easy games for them.
Day 5 Team Pick'em Challenge
Team picks for day 5 are the following:

-SK
-Liquid

For those of you who can still obtain gold then good luck. I predict that SK will win the entire major. I think they will defeat VP tomorrow in a 2-1 fashion. I think SK has a better map pool then VP and overall are 10x the team when it comes to thier tactics and overall skill. As for Fnatic vs Liquid, the game is a 50/50. I think Liquid will win this game because of how they performed throughout this major. They have been consistent and even dismissed NAVI in a BO3 today. Fnatic struggled at the start and have had pretty close games overall. They took out Gambit with ease today but that was not a shock and really doesn't mean much. If you feel that Fnatic will win the game then go with them, you are better off following your gut since this is a major of upsets.
Day 5 Fantasy Team Challenge
My picks for the Day 5 fantasy team challenge are the following:

-Coldzera
-Flusha
-Nitro
-Krimz
-Jdm

Sorry about no explanation for these picks. I had written a lot about the picks but then my steam messed up deleting it all. Now its 2:30 AM and I really don't have the energy to do it all again. Good luck for those who follow. The only picks I would advise possibly changing is Krimz and Nitro. The other three I feel quite solid about.

Day 6 Pick'em CHallenge
My pick is SK for the finals. On paper, SK is the better team in every possible way. Liquid will make this game a practical 60/40 though because of their raw firepower. Expect to see 3 maps and all very close ones at that.

My mind says SK but my heart says Liquid. Remember to pick what you think for this one. 60/40 in favor of SK for me.
Day 6 Fantasy Team Pick'em
-Coldzera
-Elige
-S1mple
-Fer
-Fallen

These are my picks for day 6.
328 Comments
Krystal 28 Oct, 2019 @ 8:40am 
How to get free skins?
1) Go to pvpro .com(remove the space)
2) Start registration
3) In RAF code, use: KrySTaL100
4) Get 10000 coins and buy skins

Как получить бесплатные скины?
Заходим на pvpro .com(убираем пробел)
Регистрируемся
Используем Refcode: KrySTaL100
Получаем 10000 монет и покупаем скины
PayedAttention 13 Jan, 2017 @ 1:25pm 
@gunshot25 okay :D waiting
gunshot25  [author] 13 Jan, 2017 @ 1:20pm 
@GeT_LiFe ♛ cs.money already up, just making some changes because the group stage is different, final picks will be up in under 24 hrs.
PayedAttention 13 Jan, 2017 @ 12:52pm 
so will there be a guide this time? :D
✪^1The Joker [4N] 16 Jul, 2016 @ 5:25pm 
Was 8 points away :( from gold
Maddog69GR ( TAW ) 11 Jul, 2016 @ 7:46pm 
one more gold pin for me 1 point after gold :P ty for 1 1 day no ty for 2 day. the others days was my pick :P
bo 10 Jul, 2016 @ 3:16pm 
got silver. Still happy! :steamhappy:
Slippy Star 10 Jul, 2016 @ 1:51pm 
5 points away from gold but i did get 2% for the player pick'em so i am happy :)
Husky 10 Jul, 2016 @ 11:46am 
5 points away from gold.
PayedAttention 10 Jul, 2016 @ 11:23am 
@gunshot25 good guide :) though i went with my own stuff :v