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Bronze Age Israel is a difficult topic for multiple reasons. It's completely absent from the Armana letters, the Ugaritic letters, the Hittite archives or any other sources of the period expect the Merneptah stele, and only in the few words you've quoted. This frustrating lack of historical or archaeological sources prevents us from identifying the people or the land it represented. As reasonable as your interpretation sounds, we simply have no means to confirm or infirm it. In modern times, this Egyptian mention of Israel has been often misunderstood or manipulated as part of the construction of a national and/or religious narrative. The Bronze Age forebearers of the Iron Age Hebrews are considered by some historians to be the Habiru, though there's no academic consensus on the matter.
ChatGPT states that the earliest external reference to the Israelites is on the Merneptah Stele from around 1207 BCE. This Egyptian inscription mentions "Israel" as a people or group, not a kingdom, noting "Israel is laid waste; his seed is no more." This implies that the Israelites were a distinct group in Canaan around 3,200 years ago.
The same could easily be said about the differences between the Mycenaeans of the LBA and post-Dark Ages Greek groups, that doesn't prevent you from saying that the language they used evolved into Classical Greek. Likewise, one could say that the language of the Canaanites would evolve into Classical Hebrew.
And yet nothing about Merneptah's Israelites. They were certainly important enough to be noticed by Egyptian intelligence and put on the same footing as regular Canaanite city-states in his victory stele. Really gets you thinking.