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Once again, simply based, hats off to you!
Also you can be hardline royalist practically the whole game as suspicion for saboteur does not come into play until you decide that you're going to be a saboteur at the dinner invitation with Garret. But not only that, when you get invited to the northern keep after the treaty vote you can choose "I would not join the crown, but nor would I be it's enemy" then say that you mean to join the wulframite faction afterwards and wulfram will still take on your debts.
But if you want to do it that way, I think Tiago said it might work.
is it possible to go full Royalist + Rep in the first half, when isobel then calls you to the Northern Keep post treaty and riots, declare for wulfram (so he takes your debts), then undermine him from the inside instead. That way you get max Royalist influence.
How does that sound ?
treaty support -1, inf_wulframite %+10 and inf_royalist %-15
Voting against it yourself is only a small penalty to the treaty success but a big shift in influence, so it should get you over the line if the other option doesn't work.
Also, telling the club it'll fail gives a huge club influence and rep hit if it passes, so you shouldn't do that.
Or try voting against the treaty. If it passes by 3, then voting against rather than abstaining should still be fine.