STEAM GROUP
KoopK's betting group - February KKFeb
STEAM GROUP
KoopK's betting group - February KKFeb
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19 February, 2015
Koop 25 Feb, 2015 @ 3:26am
25/2/2015 - Europe - Part 1 - Non FACEIT/ESEA
Hey guys,

March Group: 29 places filled of 200.

Please remember that the March group is currently open for entries and is steadily filling up. So get in quick or contact me to reserve a place if you want one! Trade link is on the front page. Remember it is 1 key or $3 in skins. :) Feel free to contact me for any further questions.

Also, as someone (think it was Squat) said on the front page I am only doing as many as I can until I get out of hospital (basically on the day the March group starts, (although it looks like it might be delayed until Monday, my latest test results weren't that great LOL) so you might have noticed North American games are currently missing. Expect them to be there for March!

Someone last night also brought up the subject of veto's. These are just predictions and nothing concrete. Teans can decide to play different maps any time they like and they are purely speculative, and used to enhance analysis.

Also, Im not sure how or why, but our group has doubled its member count in the space of 2 days, and I thank you all dearly for it!

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Evolution vs Moscow5, BO3

Evolution: CyberFocus, fAst, WANG, MistikyM, uNdo
Moscow 5: nrkkk, RazGI, AERO, Foking, FLMZ

Prediction: 2-1 to Moscow5

Risk: High

Summary: Note, neither team is playing with their full roster. ACES' RazGI is filling in for Fox for the second game in a row. While Evolution are missing z1 and arch, who along with CyberFocus, were really the only three players who ever did anything in that lineup. CyberFocus is the best Belarussian AWP but has massive inconsistency issues and coupled with 2 stand-ins and a bad support cast I would usually suggest a high Moscow5 bet here, except for the fact that M5 have literally fallen flat on their face in the last month. Having bombed out of MCS, made roster changes, and then failed again in the Katowice qualifiers. Now iwth RazGI standing in for team wildcard Fox it makes them even weaker. I wouldn't touch this game with a 10-foot pole, however I would lean towards Moscow5 still coming out on top if nrkkkk shows up.

Recommended Bet: Both teams are without their normal rosters and we haven't had the chance to watch how they perform (apart from M5 yesterday) so I would just skip.

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EnvyUs vs Flipsid3, BO1

EnvyUs: shox, Happy, kioShiMa, NBK, SmithZz
F3: markeloff, bondik, B1ad3, s1mple, WorldEdit

Prediction: 16-13 to nV

Risk: Extremely High

Summary: Despite being one of the worlds most powerful forces on paper, EnvyUs have always had one massive drawback, if SmithZz has an off day, a competent AWP can tear them to absolute shreds (ptr, kennyS in a BO1, JW). F3 have two, who if they both fire, should have a great shot of taking the game away from Envy in a BO1, despite the last few performances. If WorldEdit doesn't fire and markeloff and bondik aren't hitting shots, I would expect nV to run over the top of them, but with the chance for them to go to a CIS LAN up for grabsif they finish their group in first place over nV, I would expect F3 to come out firing on all cylinders.

Recommded Bet: Low on F3

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Team SoloMid vs Copenhagen Wolves, BO3

TSM: Device, dupreeh, cajunB, karrigan, Xyp9x
CW: MSL, HUNDEN, Friis, smF, AcilioN

Prediction: 2-0 to TSM

Risk: Medium

Summary: I'm not even too sure what to say here haha. CW showed us last night that they continue to be a threat on the three heavily CT sided maps (nuke, cobble, overpass) and did manage to pick up a win as underdogs on Penta (called it. ;) ) I very much doubt that TSM will leave any room for CW to exploit their strengths, especially with TSM being such a CT-oriented team themselves.

Recommended Bet: Those odds are disgusting. High on TSM or skip.

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EnvyUs vs madjicK, BO1

EnvyUs: shox, Happy, kioShiMa, NBK, SmithZz
madjick: tabu, haste, MODDII, xanzir, JUGI

Prediction: 16-5 to nV

Risk: Low

Summary: Made up of ex NO SIR!'s xanzir and haste, as well as veteran ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ MODDII and newStyle's tabu. madjicK are a newly formed team who's first result was a narrow win over Copenhagen Wolves last night, on cobblestone, the one map that CW can take it up with some of the best on. (or has been able to, anyway) This shows, like every other top Danish team at the moment, that they are a very CT-sided team. However looking through their past history on their various teams, I don't think any of them will give much of a hassle to nV outside MODDII, and he is, ummm.... inconsistent, at best. Adding to that I would be very surprised if nV dont veto cobble first up.

Recommended Bet: High on Envy or skip.

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Last edited by Koop; 25 Feb, 2015 @ 4:03am
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Showing 1-12 of 12 comments
katanacut 25 Feb, 2015 @ 3:31am 
thanks!
Koop 25 Feb, 2015 @ 4:00am 
Originally posted by Cobra:
"EnvyUs vs madjicK" --> It's not a BO3, it's a BO1.


Never said it was a BO3. :P
TheOnlyTate 25 Feb, 2015 @ 4:04am 
Originally posted by KoopK:
Originally posted by Cobra:
"EnvyUs vs madjicK" --> It's not a BO3, it's a BO1.


Never said it was a BO3. :P

Your prediction was 2-0 to nV, haha
Koop 25 Feb, 2015 @ 4:15am 
Originally posted by theonlytate:
Originally posted by KoopK:


Never said it was a BO3. :P

Your prediction was 2-0 to nV, haha


Shhhhhh :P
Focking Unit 25 Feb, 2015 @ 4:34am 
Originally posted by KoopK:
Originally posted by theonlytate:

Your prediction was 2-0 to nV, haha


Shhhhhh :P

Busted! Btw, you honestly think this is a low-risk? Will be my first max bet since a long long time.
SerenitY 25 Feb, 2015 @ 4:48am 
they will win the first map so hard it counts DOUBLE! easy! ;) Because of the odds I might do some 4-8 cent ICB bets on the underdogs. Worked well on the high risk titan game yesterday.

There have been added a lot more games today :(
Do you think you can make a ultra quick breakdown on some of the interesting games!?

I dont think anyone needs a analyse of all the games, there are so many and the fact you beeing in hospital... analysing them would be crazy, but if there are some gems you might give us a ultra quick betting tip?
Koop 25 Feb, 2015 @ 4:48am 
Originally posted by SerenitY:
they will win the first map so hard it counts DOUBLE! easy! ;) Because of the odds I might do some 4-8 cent ICB bets on the underdogs. Worked well on the high risk titan game yesterday.

There have been added a lot more games today :(
Do you think you can make a ultra quick breakdown on some of the interesting games!?

I dont think anyone needs a analyse of all the games, there are so many and the fact you beeing in hospital... analysing them would be crazy, but if there are some gems you might give us a ultra quick betting tip?

Yeah yeah thats what Im doing. :)
GrobiJan 25 Feb, 2015 @ 6:19am 
tbh I'd ICB on Madjick. Sure NV should have shis, but they have been taking a couple of games pretty lightly and have been experimenting so it's possible they might let cobble pass? Or do you think this game is to important for NV to fool around?
SerenitY 25 Feb, 2015 @ 6:34am 
Originally posted by GrobiJan:
tbh I'd ICB on Madjick. Sure NV should have shis, but they have been taking a couple of games pretty lightly and have been experimenting so it's possible they might let cobble pass? Or do you think this game is to important for NV to fool around?
if you always thinking about worst case you will end up underdog betting on at least all the bo1 games. I've been there the last couple of weeks, no faith in the overdogs, And of course the few games when I finaly trusted the overdog had been won by the underdog. Mouz vs Fnatic last week did cost my last good betting skins...

So I dont believe in myself anymore, but I trust in KoopK, not in case of him beeing a god and he KNOWS every outcome, but more in a realistic analyse of the games!
Last edited by SerenitY; 25 Feb, 2015 @ 6:34am
GrobiJan 25 Feb, 2015 @ 6:40am 
Originally posted by SerenitY:
Originally posted by GrobiJan:
tbh I'd ICB on Madjick. Sure NV should have shis, but they have been taking a couple of games pretty lightly and have been experimenting so it's possible they might let cobble pass? Or do you think this game is to important for NV to fool around?
if you always thinking about worst case you will end up underdog betting on at least all the bo1 games. I've been there the last couple of weeks, no faith in the overdogs, And of course the few games when I finaly trusted the overdog had been won by the underdog. Mouz vs Fnatic last week did cost my last good betting skins...
i know that feeling. Bo1's have been crazy lately and so has NV. Personally right now I don't trust NV enough to go big on NV in a Bo1 or to go big on NV against a good team in a bo3. I feel like NV's mindset is all about katowice right now. You guys are prob. gonna win and I hope you do, but NV have lost my trust for any game before katowice so I'll icb just for the fun of it
SerenitY 25 Feb, 2015 @ 6:58am 
Im on the same boat with not trusting Envy! Low risk doesnt mean NO risk, in this case I will follow KoopK [High on Envy or skip.] and going to SKIP. My "high" would give me 12cent (so no returns for sure) my MAX would give me 42cent (even this could be no returns) Betting 4 cent against them for one more loose?! Not really worth it. But I would LOVE to see envy loose... I dont like the (envy) guys :D
Last edited by SerenitY; 25 Feb, 2015 @ 6:59am
Koop 25 Feb, 2015 @ 7:00am 
LDLC and F3 are competing for one spot at LAN from what Ive read, I doubt that nV will drop it, but you never know.
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