I completely rekt it.

https://gyazo.com/b6201e60bbd61cb0e13ed147ed689a50

Here is a link to all my bets and my new spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16N0Kh_sqnPugmjfC0nOyQknlcIbKadCz5UTs9JTGiEE/edit?usp=sharing


More updates coming later today to the group moving forward.

I specifically enjoyed liquid's performance this major and I kinda wish simple could just accept living in the USA.

I feel like my succes this major was mostly thanks to both betting against fnatic & NIP and being really spot on from semi's + gave me the confidence to go a bit larger which definitely paid off as well.

Hope you all had a decent major too.

Shoutout to the topfrag people as well <3

let me know in comments how you guys did!

Hey guys!

Some of you might know already, I've updated the group description with it, and it's been announced already, but I was picked as one of the winners of the topfrag challenge and i'll now be predicting matches exclusively there!

I'm very excited about it and I think we have some really solid predictors now in LopezOMG (NA GOD) Doerdy (aka KINGDOERDY) Me (crazy underdog better) and hyuga (solid profit grinder) all over all I'd say this is the website if you want to get one group for like 5$ per month that has multiple opinions, lots of updates, guaranteed all tier 1/2 games & sometimes lower tier games if they are good value or one of the predictors has good knowledge that isn't very public or so.

The website adress is topfrag.rip for those who don't know and if you do sign up I'd appreciate it if you would use the code "Jack", someone asked me what it does and I honestly don't really know, I haven't asked I figure it just gives us some insight in how many members from this group here joined topfrag which is always cool to know, and I'm sure if tons of people use it they'll be more pleased with me over at topfrag than if no one uses it so it'd be pretty cool if you could give me a shoutout that way ^^

I'm going to be predicting at topfrag for at least the next 2 months, after that I'll reevaluate, for the future, I might run a group again, so it can't hurt to stay in here, I won't spam you guys with fanobet referral links or other bs like that and if I start my own premium group in the future or so, I will update it here so you can all get first dibs at a place in it.

I'd like to thank you all again for your support & hanging out here with me the past 2-3 weeks, I had a blast!

Thanks, good luck

& may the odds be ever in your favor (god those movies are so bad tho)

Hey guys, I'm going 4.5% on OG, I thought some more on this game and honestly it should be about 25/75 - 30/70 in favor of Tempo and since it looks like it's going to be <20% I'm gonna go smallish on OG, not the best value but whatevs.

Godsent vs Navi

I went small on godsent because I want Navi to be out so csgl wins it and i have 450$ incoming but i'm making this bet for my entertainment and not because I think it's a smart bet, so I didn't post about it here, however I did add it to spreadsheet so no one thinks there is something odd or drama going on.

For today there are 3 more matches that pique my interest, I'll do analysis for them here but in the end right before they start I'll update my spreadsheet with what I actually do. I feel like the past few days alot of bets I made I'm not happy with because odds swung after I posted analysis but then I felt forced to still stick with the bet and I really want to get back to winning ways so from now on I'm going to analyse everything but for final bet that I actually make you'll have to check spreadsheets.

Fnatic vs Astralis

I think this matchup is like 35/65 , odds are probably a bit skewed of seeing astralis with kjaerby news and their win yesterday, if fnatic win they would have 12 points which would tie them with NIP & faze and make it effectively astralis 18 points, NIP 12, faze 12, fnatic 12 so I think this game is far more important for fnatic than it is for astralis (since they are so far ahead of the pack) and fnatic kinda wants to gain ground now.

Because of this I'm edging towards fnatic, and I guess if they are below 33% I'll go about 7-8% on them.

VP vs CSGL

CSGL under 38% for 7-10% (check spreadsheet to see what I do before match starts)

I'm quite exited for this matchup, I feel like odds are a bit skewed due to vp's (imo) unexpected domination yesterday, however this tournament in specific csgl have shown a far higher skill-level than VP has and ofc as you guys know by now, I'm not gonna bet against csgl when I have them for the entire tournament so for me it's either on csgl if the odds are right or a skip, and for now the odds seem right.

Real odds should be around 60/40

OG vs Tstorm

Fully depends on odds if I will bet it or not, but Tstorm is on another level than OG and I don't really see OG taking this, I would bet OG under 10% but that's not gonna happen because OG has too many fans :D

If it's 30/70 or there around I skip, if Tstorm is below 70% I'll go pretty big on them, as with the other bets check the spreadsheet to see what I actually end up doing, I'll update those when I place bets so I can work with final odds instead of estimated odds.

c9 vs col I'm just gambling on col having their members back from the UK already, if they don't this is just a waste of money.

Hence going small 4.95%

Navi vs HR

at 80/20 I just have to trust in HR zero keeps on impressing me and navi have seemed to struggle in every match so far this tournament despite them being the only tier 1 team here.

10.20% on HR.

If I wake up in time and odds have gone to ♥♥♥♥ I might switch.

Real odds around 70/30 imo.