he tried to predict trump would fail
he's an ugly looking fucker lmao
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Originally posted by Shadowcon66:

he tried to predict trump would fail
he's an ugly looking fucker lmao
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Damn.

538 is mostly known for its accurate predictions. Nate Silver was one of the foremost voices believing that Trump would fail both the primary and the election.

However, I can't really fault the man for his prediction. Every single poll, from Fox News to 538, was off by a goddamn mile. Nobody expected that most Democrats would "give up" on their candidate. No one expected Trump to actually have a "silent majority" up his sleeve. Heck, people thought that Utah would be going to a Third Party candidate - like legitimate belief, but it went red instead.

The initial Loser.com redirect to Trump was part of the vicious, ugly part of the Left that despised the opposition. This new redirect is a "eye for an eye" maneuver by the Right to make fun of a public figure that supported a candidate the Right despised.

Remember when Nate Silver predicted that the Cubs would lose the World Series?

Remember how he still said they had a higher chance of winning the World Series than Trump did of winning the election?

Originally posted by Hellewin:

538 is mostly known for its accurate predictions. Nate Silver was one of the foremost voices believing that Trump would fail both the primary and the election.

However, I can't really fault the man for his prediction. Every single poll, from Fox News to 538, was off by a goddamn mile. Nobody expected that most Democrats would "give up" on their candidate. No one expected Trump to actually have a "silent majority" up his sleeve. Heck, people thought that Utah would be going to a Third Party candidate - like legitimate belief, but it went red instead.

The initial Loser.com redirect to Trump was part of the vicious, ugly part of the Left that despised the opposition. This new redirect is a "eye for an eye" maneuver by the Right to make fun of a public figure that supported a candidate the Right despised.

If you look at the polls they were mostly massively oversampled even if you take into account differences in predictions in turn out among demographics. It wasn’t common knowledge but it wasn’t hard to find; the problem is no one knew how much because it was so prevalent. The landslide against the current winner was bogus either way.

They were gas lighting and it’s obvious they were doing it for political reasons and lulz vs the "bad pepople".

Also not every poll several like latimes had a "realistic" poll as did several others, and the la times isnt exactly right wing, they just did their jobs.

Mr.Silver also "changed his mind" at the last minute (not about who would win but the silly landslide predictions) because of the exact polling issues I mentioned in at the very least a well-known huff and puff article.

Who cares if politics is "ruthless" the whole “its never been this bad" is bs and the opposition has been and continues to be just as bad if not worse.They (the losers) got routed politically and opinions aside; it would be flat out foolish to pull back momentum at ANY level, let alone after this stunt was pulled by an institution with this much power and this much malice towards them.

A half crushed viper delivers twice the venom, and I doubt the base that pushed them to victory would like them fraternizing with people they consider an existential threat and whom consider them the same in turn.

Polticaly speaking they have 2 years of maintaining a huge majority befor elections start happening again(albeit most of the seats comming up in that election are opposistion).They are on a time table and being watched carefully by the public at large becus of the nature of the events that passed.

Originally posted by 🎃MaximusBlastalot🎃:

Originally posted by Hellewin:

538 is mostly known for its accurate predictions. Nate Silver was one of the foremost voices believing that Trump would fail both the primary and the election.

However, I can't really fault the man for his prediction. Every single poll, from Fox News to 538, was off by a goddamn mile. Nobody expected that most Democrats would "give up" on their candidate. No one expected Trump to actually have a "silent majority" up his sleeve. Heck, people thought that Utah would be going to a Third Party candidate - like legitimate belief, but it went red instead.

The initial Loser.com redirect to Trump was part of the vicious, ugly part of the Left that despised the opposition. This new redirect is a "eye for an eye" maneuver by the Right to make fun of a public figure that supported a candidate the Right despised.

If you look at the polls they were mostly massively oversampled even if you take into account differences in predictions in turn out among demographics. It wasn’t common knowledge but it wasn’t hard to find; the problem is no one knew how much because it was so prevalent. The landslide against the current winner was bogus either way.

They were gas lighting and it’s obvious they were doing it for political reasons and lulz vs the "bad pepople".

Also not every poll several like latimes had a "realistic" poll as did several others, and the la times isnt exactly right wing, they just did their jobs.

Mr.Silver also "changed his mind" at the last minute (not about who would win but the silly landslide predictions) because of the exact polling issues I mentioned in at the very least a well-known huff and puff article.

Who cares if politics is "ruthless" the whole “its never been this bad" is bs and the opposition has been and continues to be just as bad if not worse.They (the losers) got routed politically and opinions aside; it would be flat out foolish to pull back momentum at ANY level, let alone after this stunt was pulled by an institution with this much power and this much malice towards them.

A half crushed viper delivers twice the venom, and I doubt the base that pushed them to victory would like them fraternizing with people they consider an existential threat and whom consider them the same in turn.

Polticaly speaking they have 2 years of maintaining a huge majority befor elections start happening again(albeit most of the seats comming up in that election are opposistion).They are on a time table and being watched carefully by the public at large becus of the nature of the events that passed.

True

Seems reasonable to criticize him. Guy did lean too much on playing the pundit.

538 never said Trump had no chance after the primaries were over, 30% chance is not insignificant. And they did say Trump was merely within a margin of error of winning, whereas most other aggregates had put Trump's chances of winning at ~1%. Even polls that did predict a Trump win, got it wrong when it came to the popular vote.

The biggest mistake 538 did was get Wisconsin and Michigan badly wrong, also underestimated how tight the race in W. Virginia would be. IIRC, they got the Senate races almost to a T a few days before the elections.