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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h3JfOxx6Hh4
It was a bloodbath.
A stock market bubble isn't the same as a financial bubble though. The housing bubble destroyed the economy and millions lost their jobs and homes. But the dotcom bubble only destroyed worthless companies that didn't make any profit to begin with.
If the AI sector crashes, it'll still be totally fine for 99% of people, nothing will really change. Except for the people that are investing in these companies.
Read my comment above.
Oh I did- and I have lived through each of these recessions/crashes/depressions.
I fear that this one will be the worst- and yes, you did nail the overvaluations.
When the financial markets and the economy get this untethered, there is only one possible outcome.
It has never not happened.
But the only value lost during a stock market bubble is the money people have invested. People's jobs and homes are still going to be there.
But in the mortgage / housing bubble, people had their jobs but could no longer afford to pay their inflated mortgage rates once the sub prime interest rates kicked in. So everyone was losing their homes which banks were using leverage against, this caused the banks to collapse in turn.
It was a cascading effect. As long as the bubble in question doesn't directly affect a persons ability to pay for daily life, everything will continue as normal. Most of the AI start-ups with 200 employees will die, the big dogs will shed thousands of jobs but in general, most people won't even notice a crash is even occurring in my opinion.
The only thing is that "financial" crashes rarely stay financial.
It is true that the tech industry in terms of value vs. job numbers may be the lowest of them all.
The problem is, when one market goes down, it tends to start a chain reaction. A prime example of this was in 2008 when the housing market spread to the banks, the stock market, the insurance market, the commodity market... and and and...
Then with a wave of sell-offs, things like the money market seized up- and that started a liquidity crisis.
Put that many instances together and it spreads like wildfire- even to markets that in theory should not be affected.