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Lion does not turn around when small dog barks.
That is pretty standard. Nobody wants
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xjatJ36cJvM
If you can just influence change via diplomacy, subterfuge or economic pressure.
You can be rather certain however, that if Russia (they would never do that) sent missles to heartslands of Europe, they would get smashed faster than they will get to send any nukes...
Drones are drones, hacking is hacking, all the subterfuge stuff.. is not really that much of a concern compared to actual distress.
I reckon it would happen earlier than that.
It is only a matter of time before he is overthrown by another power hungry competition.. My best is before 2027
Or even Trump the first time, when he told European leaders that Russia was not their friend and they should reduce their dependency on Russia for energy.
If you're in Europe, then I would agree.