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As for the remaining questions: Yes, you have to follow the specific order. Be sure to read the last part of the guide (2022 recommendations update).
I installed the game again e got it on first try. Cure was 90+ % and got lucky with the events (only Icure which is very manageble). It is more difficult than it was when I wrote this guide initially but still doable.
Also, if paralysis or insanity evolves after the rest of the symptoms but before the popups, is that OK and I can leave them, or should I devolve and ONLY evolve after the popups step-by-step as per the guide? Does the timing matter that much?
Can I evolve cold resistance from the start to make the "infect everyone" stage shorter, or I need to wait until Spalin is elected?
Do I literally have to wait until literally everyone gets infected? Or is it a "roughly everyone" thing? Because without cold resist, Greenland (etc) take forever.